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Forecasting Inflation. 2022 Best

Forecasting Inflation.

This assignment focuses on forecasting Inflation. Each paper involves data collection, interpretation, and additional analysis. Both papers are illustrated in the YouTube lectures.

Forecasting Inflation.

Paper details Paper – Students may choose one of two paper assignments. Both involve data collection, analysis, and write-up. Both paper topics are reviewed in the YouTube lectures. The topic for the first paper (forecasting inflation) is covered in Module 2, chapter 3. The other paper topic on current monetary policy is covered in Module 7, chapter 10. Rubrics and data sources are provided for each paper. This assignment will be graded by rubric. Paper Assignment: Forecasting Inflation or Recommended Monetary Policy.

Forecasting Inflation.

You have a choice of completing a short paper assignment on forecasting inflation or on recommended monetary policy. Each paper involves data collection, interpretation, and additional analysis. Both papers are illustrated in the YouTube lectures. The inflation forecast paper is illustrated in the lecture for chapter 3 (Module 2). The paper on what the Federal Reserve System should do is discussed in chapter 10 (Module 7). Rely on the material presented in the lectures when writing the paper. Add supplemental, background information if you wish. At the beginning of the class, I will email all students current web sites for the data used in either paper.

Forecasting Inflation.

Use APA format when listing your data sources. Keep in mind that the grade for the paper is based on the content described below, not length. It is possible to present this content in about three or four pages. Detailed instructions for each paper are provided below. 1. Paper on forecasting inflation: Collect data on two indicators of inflation (unemployment and capacity utilization) as well as year-to-date inflation. The calculation of year-to-date inflation is illustrated in Module 2 (chapter 2, PDF slide #3). You can examine inflation based on all items, or ‘core’ inflation (all items less food and energy). Collect all data for the last three months for your short-term forecast.

Forecasting Inflation.

Present the data in a table such as the following: Table 1 Data Series Oct. 2019 Nov. 2019 Dec. 2019 12-month percent change in core CPI (year-to-date) inflation 2.3 2.3 2.3 Capacity Utilization 76.9 77.4 77.0 Unemployment Rate 3.6 3.5 3.5 Describe and define inflation and explain why it is important to know something about expected inflation. Describe and define each of the indicators of inflation and explain how each is related to inflation. Use the data to explain what each indicator tells us about the inflationary outlook. Finally, explain how your information can be used by practitioners. For example, how would financial markets, or exchange rates to respond to your prediction?

Forecasting Inflation.

2. Paper on what the Federal Reserve System should do? This is not a paper on the Federal Reserve System, but on what is appropriate monetary policy, given the current state of the economy. The introduction of the paper should briefly describe the function of the Federal Reserve System and how monetary policy influences economic activity. Provide an assessment of the current state of the economy. To do this, you will need at least one indicator of current economic growth and at least one indicator of inflation. It would be best to examine the trend in these data over the last three months. https://youtu.be/j22tLUQQDh4

Forecasting Inflation.

The data may be organized in a table (see Table 1 above). Provide an interpretation of these data in terms of macroeconomics. Based on this information what do you think the Federal Reserve System should do with respect to the federal funds rate target, or other policy levers. Close with an explanation of how financial markets would respond to your policy recommendation.

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Macroeconomic recessions 2022 Best

Macroeconomic recessions

This assignment explores whether macroeconomic recessions in the United States since World War II been caused primarily by changes in [pick one] i) monetary policies, ii) taxes, iii) government spending, or iv) desires to consume, save, or invest?

Macroeconomic recessions

Macroeconomics, pick a topic. Paper details Essay Assignment Writing a short term essay is an important academic training for undergraduate students. The paper should address a question of your choice in macroeconomics, one that you can answer with a combination of simple macroeconomic theory (which you can draw from the text) and economic data. The question can be one that you make up yourself, with my approval, or it can be adapted from the list below. It is not expected that you will do any reading of economic literature beyond the regular reading assignments for the course. However, you will need to search out data to answer your question, on the web or in other sources.

Macroeconomic recessions

Suggested paper topics: 1.Have macroeconomic recessions in the United States since World War II been caused primarily by changes in [pick one] i) monetary policies, ii) taxes, iii) government spending, or iv) desires to consume, save, or invest? 2.Pick any two countries of the world whose economies have grown at significantly different rates during the last half of the 20th century. Then discuss what seem to be the principal causes of this difference in growth performance. 3.How has the natural rate of unemployment changed in the United States during the last five decades, and what changes in the economy can you identify that may have caused these changes?

Macroeconomic recessions

4.When aggregate unemployment rises and falls during the business cycle, what groups within the labor force gain and lose the most and the least in terms of their own specific unemployment? Are there any parts of the labor force that seem to be at all insulated from the ups and downs of the national labor market? 5.Which seems to be more important for explaining [pick one: investment, savings, velocity of money], the real interest rate or the nominal interest rate? 6.How, if at all, is the direction of a country’s balance of trade — surplus or deficit — related to whether it is prosperous or poor?

Macroeconomic recessions

That is, looking either across countries or in a single country over time, do situations of trade surplus tend to correspond to high employment and prosperity, to low employment and poverty, or are they unrelated? How to write the essay: 1.Pick a paper topic, either one that you design yourself or one from the above list, making it more specific where necessary. If you design your own, you should send me an e-mail describing it for my suggestions and approval. 2.Write a one-paragraph proposal (1/2 to 1 page, no more) that describes the question your paper will address and how you propose to answer it.

Macroeconomic recessions

This should include mention (but without details) of the macroeconomic concepts, theories, and/or models that you will draw upon to explain the problem (from the textbook, most likely), plus reference to the source or sources of data that you expect to use. 3.Next you should write a first draft of your paper. The text of your paper should be no more than five pages double spaced, not including any tables and graphs. (If you can’t keep it that short, narrow your topic.) 4. Lastly, produce the final version of the paper, the final version should also satisfy the five page limit.   https://youtu.be/a2azB2eag5I

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Economy of a country : 2022 Best research

Economy of a country

This assignment is a research regarding the economy of a country. The research  includes data such us GDP, Inflation, unemployment, trade balance etc.

Economy of a country

Firstly, the assignment is a research regarding the economy of a given country. Secondly, the research should include data such us GDP, Inflation, unemployment, trade balance etc.… Thirdly, the presentation lasts 10 to 15 minutes per group of 3 to 4 students. A written report and PPT presentation are submitted the day of the presentation. The choice of the country should discuss about the incidence of Covid-19 for all the following requirement.

Economy of a country

Requirements: The general topic is the following: based on the attached two International Monetary Fund documents related to the World Economic Outlook, published in October 2020, you are asked to select a particular country from the MENA region or from other regions and assess its macroeconomic performance in recent years and comment on the forecasts of the main economic variables for 2017-18-19-20. Use Excel graphs and eventually other presentation tools in order to illustrate the performance (You will find useful statistical annexes at the end of each document).

Economy of a country

The detailed questions to be addressed in your report are as follows: 1. GDP growth in constant prices in recent years and projections for 2020-21: first define real GDP and its growth, then analyze and illustrate graphically the growth trend and use relevant group or groups countries for comparison. What is your overall conclusion for the growth performance and prospects for the selected country? https://youtu.be/DQq-zJPSf4U

Economy of a country

2. Assess the unemployment situation in the selected country: define the unemployment rate, illustrate graphically and analyze trends in unemployment. So, based on graphical illustration, do you notice any relationship between GDP growth and the rate of unemployment? Is unemployment too high or too low?

Economy of a country

3. Inflation: How does the report measure inflation and what is the meaning of the indicator? Illustrate graphically and comment on changes in the inflation rate for the country you have selected. Do you consider inflation to be too high or too low in that country (by reference to relevant comparisons). What do you think would be the risks if the level of inflation recorded in the country persists in the future? 4.  Illustrate graphically and assess trends in the deficit of the country you have selected. Is the country running large or small deficits? What are the implications for that country’s indebtedness?

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